Artificial intelligence and automation are expected to reshape the U.S. labor market substantially over the next decade. A new report from the McKinsey Global Institute estimates that demand for about 36 million U.S. jobs could decline by 2035.
Job losses and new opportunities
The report also projects that growth in other parts of the economy could generate about 41 million jobs during the same period. That estimate is higher than the number of roles for which demand may fall because of AI and automation.
The figures highlight the scale of the workforce transition expected as technology changes how tasks are performed and how businesses organize work. The report’s estimates do not describe a uniform outcome across occupations, but point to simultaneous disruption and job creation across the U.S. economy.
Why the outlook matters
The projections place workforce change at the center of the AI debate. While some job demand may be reduced, the report indicates that employment growth elsewhere could more than offset those declines by 2035.
For businesses and workers, the findings underscore the importance of tracking where employment expands as AI adoption and automation alter demand for existing roles. The report offers a long-term view rather than a prediction of immediate changes.
Bottom line
McKinsey’s estimates suggest that AI and automation may eliminate demand for millions of U.S. jobs while contributing to a broader shift in employment. By 2035, the report expects new job creation in other areas to exceed the roles affected by declining demand.